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Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability

The Real Thing
Richard Jeffrey , Princeton University, New Jersey
July 2006
This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.
Adobe eBook Reader
9780511207082
$36.99
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    This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

    • A summation of a life's work in probability by one of the pre-eminent figures in the field
    • Jeffrey's name will be the key selling-point
    • Potentially large inter-disciplinary sale (as with, say, Pearl's Causality)

    Reviews & endorsements

    'All of this is very lucidly presented and very easy and fun to read. There are a lot of extremely interesting examples and a lot of very instructive and entertaining exercises … I think it is a terrific introduction to the theme of subjective probability and the Bayesian approach to philosophy of science and epistemology that will be of interest to any professional or scientist as well.' Ellery Eells, University of Wisconsin-Madison

    'The book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability theory is a mode of judgement. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and a syntheses of a lifetime of wrestling with such problems and issues.' Phinews

    '... a well written account of basic subjective probability as a tool for decision making under uncertain observations.' Zentralblatt MATH

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    Product details

    July 2006
    Adobe eBook Reader
    9780511207082
    0 pages
    0kg
    This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.

    Table of Contents

    • 1. Probability primer
    • 2. Testing scientific theories
    • 3. Probability dynamics
    • collaboration
    • 4. Expectation primer
    • 5. Updating on statistics
    • 6. Choosing.
      Author
    • Richard Jeffrey , Princeton University, New Jersey

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