Heuristics and Biases
The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment
$212.00 (C)
- Editors:
- Thomas Gilovich, Cornell University, New York
- Dale Griffin, Stanford University, California
- Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University, New Jersey
- Date Published: July 2002
- availability: Available
- format: Hardback
- isbn: 9780521792608
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212.00
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Hardback
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Judgment pervades human experience. Do I have a strong enough case to go to trial? Will the Fed change interest rates? Can I trust this person? This book examines how people answer such questions. How do people cope with the complexities of the world economy, the uncertain behavior of friends and adversaries, or their own changing tastes and personalities? When are people's judgments prone to bias, and what is responsible for their biases? This book compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer these important questions.
Read more- Is the successor to Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (Cambridge University Press, 1982) and Choices, Values, and Frames (Cambridge University Press, 2000)
- Compiles the best research on the heuristics and biases approach to judgment under uncertainty
- Features Daniel Kahneman as an editor
Reviews & endorsements
Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment; offers a massive, state-of-the-art treatment of the literature, supplementing a similar book published two decades ago...This is an impressive book, full of implications for law and policy." Cass Sunstein, University of Chicago Law School
See more reviews"...the book should serve well as a reference work for researchers in cognitive science and as a textbook for advanced courses in that difficult topic. Philosophers interested in cognitive science will also wish to consult it." Metapsychology Online Review
"Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment is a scholarly treat, one that is sure to shape the perspectives of another generation of researchers, teachers, and graduate students. The book will serve as a welcome refresher course for some readers and a strong introduction to an important research perspective for others." Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology
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×Product details
- Date Published: July 2002
- format: Hardback
- isbn: 9780521792608
- length: 880 pages
- dimensions: 243 x 164 x 36 mm
- weight: 1.21kg
- contains: 53 b/w illus. 80 tables
- availability: Available
Table of Contents
Introduction: heuristics and biases then and now
Part I. Theoretical and Empirical Extensions:
1. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment
2. Representativeness revisited: attribute substitution in intuitive judgment
3. How alike is it versus how likely it is: a disjunction fallacy in probability judgments
4. Imagining can heighten or lower the perceived likelihood of contracting a disease: the mediating effect of ease of imagery
5. The availability heuristic revisited: ease of recall and content of recall as distinct sources of information
6. Incorporating the irrelevant: anchors in judgments of belief and value
7. Putting adjustment back in the anchoring and adjustment heuristic: differential processing of self-generate and experimenter-provided anchors
8. Self anchoring in conversation: why language users don't do what they 'should'
9. Inferential correction
10. Mental contamination and the debiasing problem
11. Sympathetic magical thinking: the contagion and similarity 'heuristics'
12. Compatibility effects in judgment and choice
13. The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
14. Inside the planning fallacy: the causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions
15. Probability judgment across cultures
16. Durability bias in affective forecasting
17. Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions
18. Ambiguity and self-evaluation: the role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability
19. When predictions fail: the dilemma of unrealistic optimism
20. Norm theory: comparing reality to its alternatives
21. Counterfactual thought, regret, and superstition: how to avoid kicking yourself
Part II. New Theoretical Directions:
22. Two systems of reasoning
23. The affect heuristic
24. Individual differences in reasoning: implications for the rationality debate?
25. Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
26. Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: advances in support theory
27. Remarks on support theory: recent advances and future directions
28. The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning
29. Feelings as information: moods influence judgments and processing strategies
30. Automated choice heuristics
31. How good are fast and frugal heuristics?
32. Intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors: exploring the empirical implications of deviant functionalist metaphors
Part III. Real World Applications:
33. The hot hand in basketball: on the misperception of random sequences
34. Like goes with like: the role of representativeness in erroneous and pseudoscientific beliefs
35. When less is more: counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists
36. Understanding misunderstanding: social psychological perspectives
37. Assessing uncertainty in physical constants
38. Do analysts overreact?
39. The calibration of expert judgment: Heuristics and biases beyond the laboratory
40. Clinical versus actuarial judgment
41. Heuristics and biases in application
42. Theory driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics.Instructors have used or reviewed this title for the following courses
- Asset Pricing Theory
- Bias and Prejudice in Social Psychology
- Economic Behavior and Psychology
- Intro to American Government
- Judgement and decision making
- Personality and Prediction
- Psychology of Consumer Choice and Investment Decision-Making
- Psychotherapy
- Reasoning and Critical Thinking
- Seminar on Intuition
- Social Psychology
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