Decision Making
Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Interactions

Table of Contents

Preface
Introduction
Part I. Overview Paper:
1. Descriptive, normative, and prescriptive interactions in decision making David E. Bell, Howard Raiffa, and Amos Tversky
Part II. Conceptions of Choice:
2. Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice James G. March
3. Rationality as process and as product of thought Herbert A. Simon
4. Normative theories of decision making under risk and under uncertainty P. C. Fishburn
5. Risky choice revisited David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa
6. Behavioral decision theory: processes of judgment and choice Hillel J. Einhorn, and Robin M. Hogarth
7. Reply to commentaries Hillel J. Einhorn, and Robin M. Hogarth
8. Response mode, framing, and information-processing effects in risk assessment Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, and Sarah Lichetenstein
9. Rational choice and the framing of decisions Amos Tversky, and Daniel Kahneman
10. Savage revisited Glenn Shafer
Part III. Beliefs and Judgments about Uncertainties:
11. Languages and decisions for probability judgment Glenn Shafer, and Amos Tversky
12. Updating subjective probability Persi Diaconis, and Sandy L. Zabell
13. Probability, evidence, and judgment A. P. Dempster
14. The effects of statistical training on thinking about everyday problems Geoffrey T. Fong, David H. Krantz, and Richard E. Nisbett
Part IV. Values and Utilities:
15. The mind as a consuming organ T. C. Schelling
16. Disappointment in decision making under uncertainty David E. Bell
17. Marginal value and intrinsic risk aversion David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa
18. Knowing what you want: measuring labile values Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, and Sarah Lichetenstein
19. Sources of bias in assessment procedures for utility functions John C. Hershey, Howard C. Kunreuther, and Paul J. H. Schoemaker
20. Simplicity in decision analysis: an example and a discussion Ward Edwards, Detlof von Winterfeldt, and David L. Moody
21. Value-focused thinking and the study of values Ralph L. Keeney
Part V. Areas of Application:
22. Behaviour under uncertainty and its implications for policy Kenneth J. Arrow
23. The relevance of quasi rationality in competitive markets Thomas Russell, and Richard Thaler
24. How senior managers think Daniel J. Isenberg
25. Problems in producing usable knowledge for implementing liberating alternatives Chris Argyris
26. On the framing of medical decisions Barbara J. McNeil, Stephen G. Pauker, and Amos Tversky
27. Whether or not to administer amphotericin to an immunosuppressed patient with hematologic malignancy and undiagnosed fever Jonathan E. Gottlieb, and Stephen G. Pauker
28. The effect of private attitudes on public policy: prenatal screening for neural tube defects as a prototype Stephen G. Pauker, Susan P. Pauker, and Barbar J. McNeil
29. Discussion agenda for the session on medical decision making and minutes of a group discussion clinical decision making Milton C. Weinstein, (moderator), and Harvey V. Fineberg, Barbara J. McNeil, and Stephen G. Pauker (discussion rapporteur Robert J. Quinn).