Research on Judgment and Decision Making
Currents, Connections, and Controversies

Table of Contents

Part I. Introduction:
1. Judgment and decision research: some historical context William M. Goldstein and Robin M. Hogarth
Part II. Currents:
2. Reason-based choice Eldar Shafir, Itamar Simonson and Amos Tversky
3. Probabilistic mental models: a Brunswikian theory of confidence Gerd Gigerenzer, Ulrich Hoffrage and Heinz Kleinbolting
4. Direct comparison of the efficacy of intuitive and analytical cognition in expert judgment Kenneth R. Hammond, Robert M. Hamm, Janet Grassia, and Tamra Pearson
5. The adaptive decision maker: effort and accuracy in choice John W. Payne, James R. Bettman and Eric J. Johnson
6. Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing Joshua Klayman and Young-Won Ha
7. Learning from feedback: exactingness and incentives Robin M. Hogarth, Brian J. Gibbs, Craig R. M. McKenzie and Margaret A. Marquis
8. Covariation in natural causal induction Patricia W. Cheng and Laura R. Novick
9. Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won Daniel Kahneman and Carol A. Varey
10. The Process-performance paradox in expert judgment: how can experts know so much and predict so badly? Colin F. Camerer and Eric J. Johnson
11. Intertemporal choice George Loewenstein and Richard H. Thaler
12. Not me or thee but we: the important of group identity in eliciting cooperation in dilemna situations: experimental manipulations Robyn M. Dawes, Alphons J. C. van de Kragt and John M. Orbell
13. Predicting a changing taste: do people know what they will like? Daniel Kahneman and Jackie Snell
14. Endowment and contrast in judgment of well-being Amos Tversky and Dale Griffin
Part III. Connections:
15. The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task is memory-based or on-line Reid Hastie and Bernadette Park
16. Explanation-based decision making: effects of memory structure on judgment Nancy Pennington and Reid Hastie
17. Decision making under ignorance: arguing with yourself Robin M. Hogarth and Howard Kunreuther
18. Positive affect and decision making Alice M. Isen
Part IV. Controversies:
19. The paramorphic representation of clinical judgment: a thirty-year retrospective Michael E. Doherty and Berndt Brehmer
20. Islanders and hostages: deep and surface structures of decision problems Willem A. Wagenaar, Gideon Keren and Sarah Lichtenstein
21. Content and discontent: indications and implications of domain specificity in preferential decision making William M. Goldstein and Elke U. Weber
22. The case for rules in reasoning Edward E. Smith, Cristopher Langston and Richard E. Nisbett
23. An alternative metaphor in the study of judgment and choice: people as politicians Philip E. Tetlock
24. Between hope and fear: the psychology of risk Lola L. Lopes.

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• Table of Contents (133 KB)
• Front Matter (493 KB)
• Copyright Information Page (70 KB)
• Marketing Excerpt (749 KB)
• Index (1992 KB)