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Uncertain Futures
How to Unlock the Climate Impasse

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Part of The Politics of Climate Change

  • Date Published: July 2023
  • availability: This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.
  • format: Adobe eBook Reader
  • isbn: 9781009405287

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  • Why is the world not moving fast enough to solve the climate crisis? Politics stand in the way, but experts hope that green investments, compensation, and retraining could unlock the impasse. However, these measures often lack credibility. Not only do communities fear these policies could be reversed, but they have seen promises broken before. Uncertain Futures proposes solutions to make more credible promises that build support for the energy transition. It examines the perspectives of workers, communities, and companies, arguing that the climate impasse is best understood by viewing the problem from the ground up. Featuring voices on the front lines such as a commissioner in Carbon County deciding whether to welcome wind, executives at energy companies searching for solutions, mayors and unions in Minnesota battling for local jobs, and fairgoers in coal country navigating their uncertain future, this book contends that making economic transitions work means making promises credible.

    • Uses stories from our extensive interviews and research to make the ideas accessible to readers
    • Highlights the perspectives of all involved in the energy transition, such as: fossil fuel workers, local officials, community members, union leaders, energy company executives, lobbyists, renewable energy developers, workforce training instructors, the national public, and youths
    • Includes inter-disciplinary and multi-disciplinary perspectives, which show how ideas and methods from different disciplines complement each other
    • Synthesizes a range of academic literatures including economics, political science, and sociology
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    Awards

    • Winner. 2023 Best Book,The Energy Market Economy Award, American Energy Society

    Reviews & endorsements

    'Uncertain Futures builds around the seldom acknowledged reality that the clean energy transition involves place-based economic disruption of breathtaking scale and pace, generating legitimate worker and community concerns. The political headwinds generated by inattention to these concerns are stiff, especially given the low credibility of governments to manage major transitions for the benefit of all. Uncertain Futures, laying out the issues clearly and providing direction for breaking the climate action logjam, is a must-read for all those at the forefront of advancing social equity while addressing the climate challenge.' Ernest J. Moniz, 13th US Secretary of Energy; Director, MIT-Harvard Roosevelt Project

    'Overcoming the political impasse on climate requires rethinking the way we do politics. Alexander Gazmararian and Dustin Tingley show us how: we need a climate politics from the ground up, one that listens to those whose lives will be upended by the transition to a green economy and offers a credible path to new jobs and strong communities. This pathbreaking book offers our best hope for overcoming the climate impasse.' Michael J. Sandel, author of Democracy's Discontent: A New Edition for Our Perilous Times

    'This compelling, well-documented, and stunningly insightful account of community-based opposition to green policies in the US begins and ends with respect for and consultation with the affected communities. Gazmararian and Tingley document widespread perceptions of governments' inability to make credible commitments, aggravating citizen uncertainties about the future. The authors go beyond diagnosis with detailed prescriptions designed to increase government transparency and trustworthiness - and make a green future possible.' Margaret Levi, Professor of Political Science, Stanford University

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    Product details

    • Date Published: July 2023
    • format: Adobe eBook Reader
    • isbn: 9781009405287
    • availability: This ISBN is for an eBook version which is distributed on our behalf by a third party.
  • Table of Contents

    1. Introduction
    2. Problems and solutions
    3. Asking people, communities and companies
    4. Opportunity knocks?
    5. Making government policy credible
    6. Bargaining for the future
    7. Making workforce programs work
    8. Green jobs under the spotlight
    9. Conclusion.

  • Authors

    Alexander F. Gazmararian, Princeton University, New Jersey
    Alexander F. Gazmararian is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Politics at Princeton University, where he is researching how to unlock the climate impasse. He is currently writing a book with Helen Milner about how global warming will reshape politics.

    Dustin Tingley, Harvard University, Massachusetts
    Dustin Tingley is Professor of Government at Harvard University. He is the author of numerous articles on the politics of climate change, international relations, international political economy, and statistical methodology. His book Sailing the Water's Edge, with Helen Milner, won the Gladys M. Kammerer Award for the best book on U.S. national policy.

    Awards

    • Winner. 2023 Best Book,The Energy Market Economy Award, American Energy Society

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