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Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Part of Themes in Modern Econometrics

  • Date Published: January 2018
  • availability: Available
  • format: Hardback
  • isbn: 9781107196575

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About the Authors
  • Structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for empirical work in macroeconomics, finance, and related fields. This book not only reviews the many alternative structural VAR approaches discussed in the literature, but also highlights their pros and cons in practice. It provides guidance to empirical researchers as to the most appropriate modeling choices, methods of estimating, and evaluating structural VAR models. The book traces the evolution of the structural VAR methodology and contrasts it with other common methodologies, including dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. It is intended as a bridge between the often quite technical econometric literature on structural VAR modeling and the needs of empirical researchers. The focus is not on providing the most rigorous theoretical arguments, but on enhancing the reader's understanding of the methods in question and their assumptions. Empirical examples are provided for illustration.

    • Provides a comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of the topic, allowing readers to find all related methods in one source
    • Bridges the gap between the technical structural vector autoregressive (VAR) literature and the needs of empirical researchers
    • Shows the pros and cons of specific structural (VAR) methods, allowing empirical researchers to decide on the most appropriate methods for their analysis
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    Reviews & endorsements

    'The book by Kilian and Lütkepohl will become the new benchmark textbook for teaching structural vector autoregressive analysis. This book thus devotes considerable space to the issue of identification, including sign restrictions, to Bayesian methods, to Factor Vector Autoregressions and to non-fundamental shocks. These are key to understanding much of recent research. The authors do an excellent job of assembling and lucidly explaining it all. This book is destined to become a classic.' Harald Uhlig, University of Chicago

    'Structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) are an essential tool in empirical macroeconomics. This book provides a thorough and long-overdue digest of a literature that has been thriving for over 35 years and seen a lot of exciting developments in the past decade. The authors masterfully blend theoretical foundations, guidance for practitioners, and detailed empirical applications. This is a must-read for anyone working with SVARs.' Frank Schorfheide, University of Pennsylvania

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    Product details

    • Date Published: January 2018
    • format: Hardback
    • isbn: 9781107196575
    • length: 754 pages
    • dimensions: 235 x 157 x 45 mm
    • weight: 1.14kg
    • contains: 40 b/w illus.
    • availability: Available
  • Table of Contents

    1. Introduction
    2. Vector autoregressive models
    3. Vector error correction models
    4. Structural VAR tools
    5. Bayesian VAR analysis
    6. The relationship between VAR models and other macroeconometric models
    7. A historical perspective on causal inference in macroeconometrics
    8. Identification by short-run restrictions
    9. Estimation subject to short-run restrictions
    10. Identification by long-run restrictions
    11. Estimation subject to long-run restrictions
    12. Inference in models identified by short-run or long-run restrictions
    13. Identification by sign restrictions
    14. Identification by heteroskedasticity or non-gaussianity
    15. Identification based on extraneous data
    16. Structural VAR analysis in a data-rich environment
    17. Nonfundamental shocks
    18. Nonlinear structural VAR models
    19. Practical issues related to trends, seasonality, and structural change
    References
    Index.

  • Authors

    Lutz Kilian, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
    Lutz Kilian is Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Between 2001 and 2003 he served as an adviser to the European Central Bank in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Professor Kilian has been a research visitor at the Federal Reserve Board, the Bank of Canada, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund. His work has appeared in Econometrica, the American Economic Review, and the Journal of Political Economy. He has served as associate editor of the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, among other journals.

    Helmut Lütkepohl, Freie Universität Berlin
    Helmut Lütkepohl has held professorial positions at Universität Hamburg, the Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, Germany, the Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, the European University Institute, Florence, and the Freie Universität Berlin. He has served as Dean of the Graduate Center of the Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin. He has published professional articles in Econometrica, the Journal of Econometrics, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Econometric Theory, and the Journal of Applied Econometrics. He has also served as associate editor of the Journal of Econometrics, Econometric Theory, Macroeconomic Dynamics, the Journal of Applied Econometrics, and Econometric Reviews. He is the author of New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis (2010).

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